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Professor Xueqin Jiang, extensively referred to as the Chinese language Nostradamus, made predictions concerning the ongoing Iran US battle within the Center East, and what he needed to say attracted the eye of many.
This, nonetheless, isn’t his first prediction. Quite the opposite, on his YouTube channel, Predictive Historical past, the place he has numerous followers, Jiang shares forecasts about many international occasions.
For instance, again in 2024, he posted a video of himself sharing three main predictions throughout a lecture at a highschool in China, and two of these predictions have already come true. This left individuals in anticipation for the third prediction he made, questioning if it can additionally flip right into a actuality.
A kind of predictions concerned Trump and the US 2024 elections. Specifically, Jiang mentioned, “If he [Trump] does change into president in a second time period, there can be a really sturdy chance that the USA will go to battle with Iran.”
Hostilities between the USA and Iran escalated into open warfare on February 28, 2026. The state of affairs has grown more and more risky, leaving many fearing of the opportunity of WWIII. Essentially the most putting side of Jiang’s prediction of the ultimate end result of the battle: America can be defeated, in accordance with him.
In his evaluation of attainable battle situations, the professor argued that an American offensive in opposition to Iran can be unlikely to succeed.
“The third huge prediction is that the USA will lose this battle, which is able to perpetually change the worldwide order,” he mentioned, pointing to Iran’s demographics and topography as key components.
“If this battle [US-Iran] had been to occur, there’s completely no method America can win this battle,” he added.
In line with Jiang, his predictions are primarily based on “psycho-history,” a specialised framework he makes use of to investigate recurring historic cycles and undertaking future occasions.
He had beforehand argued that the stance of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps is primarily pushed by animosity in direction of the US interventionism in Iran.
“We will suspect {that a} second Trump time period battle with Iran can be a significant precedence.
“Principally the USA is searching for a motive and Iran desires to present them a motive and that’s why I believe battle between the USA and Iran could be very possible within the subsequent two to 4 years.”
Talking earlier this month, Jiang remained assured in his predictions: “Given my evaluation of how the battle is progressing, I believe that Iran has many extra benefits over the USA. The fact is, proper now, it’s a battle of attrition between the USA and Iran, and Iranians have been getting ready 20 years for this battle.”
In line with Sudan Horizon, Jiang posits that the US faces important danger in case of a protracted battle. He argues that the present state of affairs appears to be shifting to a “battle of attrition,” whereby the true winner won’t be primarily based on its navy capabilities, however on which nation can now not maintain its financial system and resolve.
“Iranian planners have been getting ready for this for 20 years,” Jiang mentioned, as per The Public Purview. “Of their worldview, it is a civilizational battle. They see it as a battle in opposition to the ‘Nice Devil.’”
In line with the Chinese language Nostradamus, the present panorama of warfare has shifted to favor agility over sheer scale.
“The U.S. military-industrial advanced was constructed after World Battle II to battle the Chilly Battle,” he mentioned. “It isn’t optimized for drone-saturated, uneven attritional warfare.”
He pointed to the rising price imbalance on the battlefield, the place extraordinarily costly protection techniques are sometimes deployed in opposition to less expensive weapons.
“This asymmetry shouldn’t be sustainable long-term,” he added, referring to using million-dollar missile protection techniques to intercept drones that will price solely a fraction of that quantity.
Other than that, Jiang additionally warned that the battle may have critical financial repercussions, notably for international locations within the Gulf.
He mentioned that key infrastructure like desalination vegetation, oil services, and maritime commerce routes could possibly be key strain factors within the battle, notably within the Strait of Hormuz.
“Sixty % of Gulf water provide comes from desalination vegetation,” he mentioned. “A $50,000 drone may disable a significant facility serving tens of millions.”
Jiang warns that the after-effects of this battle aren’t restricted to the battlefield, notably specializing in the worldwide power chain and finance. He argues that the bottleneck within the Gulf oil exports, accompanied by a halt within the funding pipeline, could set off a “domino impact” on the U.S. home sectors, particularly these sectors which can be backed or supported by the Gulf states.
“The American financial system is closely depending on Gulf petrodollars recycled into its markets,” he argued. “If that cycle breaks, it may set off systemic stress.”
The Chinese language Nostradamus additional questioned if a navy marketing campaign will the truth is obtain one of many goals typically mentioned by policymakers, the regime change in Iran.
“Historical past reveals airpower alone doesn’t change regimes,” he mentioned. “Floor troops can be required — and that might be enormously expensive.”
In line with him, sure regional actors, together with Saudi Arabia and Israel, may assist a harder US stance in direction of Teheran, although the problem is politically very delicate and debated.
Past the speedy strategic issues, Jiang locations this battle within the context of an vital shift in international energy. He argues that the notion of American “invincibility” is being stripped away, and that we’re coming into an period wherein a number of international powers, not only one, maintain sway.
Whereas Jiang’s controversial positions and and the “psycho-history” strategy behind it’s a topic to a wider debate lacks basic proof, his work does faucet right into a dialogue amongst students.
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